The Miami Herald
Feb. 12, 2003

Herald poll gauges Cuban-American views

Here are some of the questions Cuban Americans were asked in a poll conducted for The Miami Herald:

  Recently, the leadership of the Cuban-American National Foundation announced that they would be willing to enter into a dialogue with three high-level Cuban government officials -- not including Fidel or Raul Castro -- in hopes of discussing democratic transition in Cuba. Do you support or oppose this dialogue?

  Support 54

  Oppose 39

  Don't know 7

  As you may have heard, there will be a meeting later this year on the island regarding Cuba's relationship with exiles here. Do you support or oppose members of the exile community meeting with Cuban officials on this topic, or do you oppose it?

  Support 56

  Oppose 35

  Don't know 9

  Which of the following is closest to your opinion?

  Cuba will have a peaceful transition to democracy while Castro is in power: 5

  Cuba will have a peaceful transition to democracy after Castro dies: 37

  Cuba will only become a democracy after the communists are removed by force: 52

  Don't know: 6

  As you may know, the Varela Project, led by Oswaldo Payá, is seeking to collect and deliver thousands of signatures to the Cuban National Assembly to force democratic reforms. Based on what you know about the Varela project, do you support or oppose the project?

  Support 59

  Oppose 23

  Don't know 18

  Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  The Varela Project is an important step toward democracy in Cuba.

  Agree: 56

  Disagree: 31

  Don't know:13

  The fact that the Varela Project is allowed to operate in Cuba is evidence that they are being manipulated by the Castro government.

  Agree: 43

  Disagree: 43

  Don't know: 14

  The current Cuban government is slowly moving toward democracy.

  Agree: 20

  Disagree: 73

  Don't know: 7

  I oppose the Varela Project because it legitimizes the communist Cuban constitution.

  Agree: 31

  Disagree: 50

  Don't know: 19

  Even if it is unsuccessful, the Varela Project is valuable because it helps set the stage for a transition to democracy after Castro is no longer in power. Agree: 66

  Disagree: 20

  Don't know:14

  The poll surveyed 400 self-identified Cuban-Americans or Cuban exiles over the age of 18 in Miami-Dade and Broward counties on Feb. 7-10. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percent. The interviews were conducted in English or Spanish, depending on the preference of the respondent, by Schroth & Associates, of Washington D.C. and Miami.